AN ANALYSIS ON DETERMINANTS OF CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT IN TURKEY WITH ARDL BOUNDS TEST APPROACH
نویسندگان
چکیده
Bu çalışmada, Türkiye için cari denge ile büyüme, para arzı ve reel döviz kuru değişkenleri arasındaki ilişki, 2003Q1-2020Q4 dönemi Gecikmesi Dağıtılmış Otoregressif Sınır Testi (ARDL) Granger Nedensellik kullanılarak analiz edilmiştir. Çalışmada bağımlı değişken olarak enerji hariç (EHCD) değişkeni kullanılmıştır. Analiz sonuçlarına göre, büyüme (BUY) (RDK) EHCD arasında %5 anlamlılık seviyesinde, negatif yönlü uzun dönemli bir ilişki bulunmuştur. nedensellik çift Türkiye’de büyümenin ithalata olması nedeniyle, iç dış talebi artırarak dengeyi olumsuz etkilemektedir. Diğer taraftan EHCD’den kuruna, büyümeden de arzına doğru tek vardır. Türkiye’nin kronikleşen açık probleminden kurtulması için, yüksek ihraç malları üretmesi, enerjide diğer ithal girdilerde dışa bağımlılığını azaltması gerekmektedir. çerçevede gerek günümüzde yaşanan Rusya-Ukrayna gerilimi sonucu ortaya çıkan riskler gerekse Paris İklim Anlaşması’nın çevre kirliliğini azaltıcı hedefleri, kendine yeterliliğin yenilenebilir kaynaklarına yönelik yatırımların önemini koymaktadır.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Do?u? Üniversitesi Dergisi
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['1302-6739', '1308-6979']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.31671/doujournal.1003942